Forex Trading & Day Trading


Monday, November 19, 2012

The 2013 Forex KAIZEN Manifesto

A "checkerboard trader" hops and jumps all over the board trying to find the perfect system. He or she is jumping from one sure thing to another trying to find that holy grail.


Lack of fundamental trading knowledge is really the primary cause for so much struggling and time wasting, and it's sad. It's the reason why the overwhelming majority of people new to the Internet will fail in achieving their dreams even if they buy lots of automated systems, study the traditional indicators religiously, and work extremely hard.


I'm going to address the issues I see, because I know from past experience that my unique perspective can really make a tremendous difference in your trading. I cannot sit on the sidelines and allow so many dreams to fall by the wayside due to a misunderstanding of how successful trades are executed. I will expose those issues, one by one, and you will gain clarity about your relationship to this skill (and how to improve it substantially) that you've never had before.


To put online trading into perspective we have to go back in history a bit, before online trading.


If the names Larry Williams, Joe DiNapoli, and Jake Berstein mean nothing to you, that's not important. What is important is that these gentlemen and many others like them could do no wrong in the 1960s, 70s, and even 80s. They were super traders, making money with the simplest of systems.


They all gained such a reputation that they began selling their advice and counsel, and some still do today. Unfortunately, they don't seem to have updated their systems.


The most well-known trading phenomenon and story of all time may be that of the Turtles. These 14 students of Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt amassed fortunes by trading breakouts and made the trend following method famous.


As time and technology advanced, automation began to take over. The triggers that Williams and others had been using for entry and exit began to be packaged as indicators and sold to the trading public.


Why not? They had worked so wonderfully for such a long time.


But, unwittingly, these innovations were setting the stage for the confusion, frustration, and despair among today's traders. Why? None of them work like they used to.


I don't blame Williams, DiNapoli, Bernstein, et al. for anything devious. They were just trying to pass on some of their expertise. In fact, logic would tell you that these inventions were good-hearted. What they didn't anticipate is that these tools are now being used as weapons - no, a better word is "bait" - to extract money from the uneducated trader.


And I can't blame the brokerages that build these indicators into their platforms. They perceive it as a service feature that they must have in order to compete. But I can tell you for a fact that some professional traders watch the action around these indicators and trade against the amateurs, taking the other side of their trades.


Obstacles to Achieving the Success You Want As a Trader


Now that you know how the game has evolved, you should stop for a few minutes and reflect on how you have played it so far. Let's take a look at the obstacles you might face in actually creating a powerful methodology that has staying power.


By exposing and eliminating these problems, you'll be able to reach your goal faster (and easier) than you ever thought possible. These are the same overriding concepts on which ultra-wealthy traders operate.


Let's take a look at one fundamental problem most traders experience:


Symptoms: Buying anything that looks like it'll make you money, getting no results.


Cause: Opportunistic Thinking


Problem: Lack of Strategy


The very first obstacle we need to look at is you and your thinking. There are two different diametrically opposed ways of thinking when it comes to trading. There's opportunistic thinking and strategic thinking.


Having No Strategy Creates Frustration, Despair, Discouragement, and Failure


There are measurable actions in each trade that can be planned, becoming a part of your strategy. They are:


1. Environment


Have you assessed the environment in which you plan to trade? Is it volatile? Is it trending? Is it choppy? Is it being driven by scheduled news announcements? What time of day is it? Is it a rollover day? Is it subject to seasonal influences? Is it a popular market? What time frame is most appropriate? Should I use more than one time frame to assess the environment? What does the economic calendar say for today? How do I assess the overall environment? Should I use indicators or some other method?


2. Money Management / Position Size


What is your account size now? How much of your account can you risk on this trade? What position size will maximize the return? Where must your stop be? Will the stop placement jeopardize your risk tolerance? Is the MFE/MAE ratio favorable to your planned position size? Are there correlations in your positions?


3. Entry


At what price should you enter? Should you enter at the market? Should you enter on a breakout at a specific stop price? Should you enter on a pullback with a limit order? At what time of the session should you enter, based on the environment in this market? Do you go all in with one entry, or is it best to scale in? Should you plan to average down? Am I going to use an indicator? What indicator(s) should I use? Why am I entering this trade?


4. Position Management


Should you leave this position on overnight? Are trailing stops appropriate for this trade? Would chandelier stops work better? Should you add to the position, based on market behavior? At what point do you minimize the risk of losing focus with an action or protective order? Have I reached my daily loss limit? Should I hedge my position?


5. Exit


Should I exit at the market? Would a limit order be better? Would a stop order be even better? Should I trail the position now that exit is the strategy? Should I scale out or exit all the position with one order? Has the trade met my target? Did I have a target? Has the environment changed, requiring an exit even though my target hasn't been hit? Why am I exiting this trade?


6. Post-trade Reflection / Assessment


How much money did you make / lose? What mistakes were made? How can you improve the step(s) in which the mistake(s) were made? What were the metrics for this trade - MFE, MAE, hold time, session traded, position size, trade direction, and others?


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I beg your pardon for taking so much time on the negative. If you have two to three years' experience in the Forex market, all this negative stuff is probably familiar to you. If you're brand new to the arena, you need to hear this and become aware of it, so that you don't experience so much frustration in the future. But enough is enough, so let's get to the positive side of this manifesto.


To make a sustainable, substantive change in your life, you must do something substantially different. So what's different about what's being proposed in the Manifesto?


The first aspect of your strategy addressed is your mindset. Now, that's not revolutionary in the world of teaching these skills. There have been thousands of books and articles written on mindset with regards to how you should view your trading practices and how you should manage your mental state to achieve success. I have many of those books in my library and have studied them all, because I place this factor at the top of the list in successful trading.


However, the most important aspect of mindset in the KAIZEN system is that of treating your trading involvement like a business. You must view it as a business, no matter what your level of participation is - part-time private speculator or full-time investment advisor and money manager - as well as everything in between. Once you have established that mindset, then the principles of KAIZEN can be applied to create a powerful flood of improvements in your technique.


Most people don't think of trading as a series of actions or process steps, but that's exactly what it is. A business mindset helps you see that. And like any business enterprise, you must operate within certain standards for each step. Furthermore, KAIZEN is a process in itself - one of making continuous improvements to those standards.


Amateur traders think of trade success or failure in terms of the whole transaction. In other words, "I got in here, and I got out there. I lost money, so I failed." You will learn why that is a counter-productive way of looking at your trading, because it offers almost no useful feedback that leads to improvement. And this is what I mean by that: What step(s) of the process caused the failure? What about the environment, if anything, caused this trade to go wrong? What happened in the next step, and the next?


By breaking down each transaction into stages and evaluating each, just as if your trade had been processed on an assembly line, you will begin to discover your strengths and weaknesses. By analyzing each step in the process for each trade, you will establish a system of continuous improvement that will transform you from that defenseless "fish" into the grizzly bear.


This is KAIZEN, the system that made Japan the leading automobile manufacturer in the world. Anthony Robbins combined KAIZEN and neuro-linguistic programming to create a global self-help revolution. And it spawned many other performance improvement models, such as Six Sigma™. Employed as a means to learn and implement proven trading techniques in the correct way, it is explosive and highly rewarding.


The Internet is flooded with training, coaching, automation, gimmicks, tricks, magic bullets, and outrageous claims for making money day-trading. These shortcuts are as prolific as weight loss solutions, yet most of us are still fat and broke.


STOP, right now, and take stock of your part in all this folly. Where has it led you; what have you achieved that is sustainable? If you're reading this, I think I know the embarrassing, humiliating answer... and you do, too.


You can change that by reading the complete report at forexkaizen.org, where you will also find a little video that will make you happy for the next two hours - if not all day. It's all free and my gift to you today. Providing useful tips, reviews, articles and writings on forex online.

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